Champions League Round of 16 Leg 2 (3/10/20)

All-Time Record: 621-551-161 
Last Two Seasons: 358-314-94 (+13.3 units)
This Season: 146-145-46 (-1.3 Units)
Matchweek 28 and 29: 7-6 (+1.7 Units)

We will have new podcast up between the two Champions League matchdays as things have been pretty hectic. Some notable news is that Italy and Serie A has cancelled all fixtures for the next month due to the coronavirus. Should be interesting to see how that affects Juventus and Atalanta’s form in the coming weeks if they do advance.

UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, March 10th

4:00 pm EST

Atalanta (4) @ Valencia (1) – This tie is pretty much wrapped up unless Valencia can manage a big shutout win at the Mestalla on Tuesday. That doesn’t mean there isn’t value in this game though. Valencia have always been monsters at home and this year is no different, as they’ve gone undefeated in the league at the Mestalla this season. Atalanta are good but their defensive woes have been evident as they’ve allowed 1.4 goals per match in Serie A, 1.9 per match in the Champions League and 3 per match away from home in the group stage. I’ll gladly take a Valencia line which has a positive price in a situation where teams tend to make the aggregate score closer in their home second leg. Valencia Pickem (+115).

Tottenham (0) @ RB Leipzig (1) – Leipzig bring their one-goal advantage back to Germany hoping to close this out and advance to the quarterfinals. Spurs are coming off one of the worst matches, and more specifically first halves, I’ve seen them play in a long time. That’s now five straight without a loss, three of those being losses. Leipzig didn’t cover themselves in glory in their scoreless draw at Wolfsburg on Saturday but they’re still in solid form, without a loss in six and without a Bundesliga/UCL loss since January 25th. I don’t see a way out for Spurs here and I think Leipzig pile it on and run away with this one. I’m going to double down on them and take them on the -1 spread. RB Leipzig -1 (-115) 2 UNITS.

That’s all for Tuesday’s action! Come back Wednesday morning for a new podcast and set of picks!

Twitter: @canikickitpod
Twitter: @nicodegallo

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