Bundesliga Recap and Preview Podcast

The boys are back to recap what happened when the Bundesliga returned and what to expect this weekend. Come kick it with us…

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/can-i-kick-it/id1477486316#episodeGuid=tag%3Asoundcloud%2C2010%3Atracks%2F826481695

Nico’s Picks

All-Time Record: 625-557-163 
Last Two Seasons: 362-320-96 (+13.2 units)
This Season: 150-151-48 (-1.4 Units)
Bundesliga: 3-5-2 (-1.1 Units)

Union Berlin Pickem (+120)
Leverkusen ML (+175)
Leverkusen Over 3 Goals (-130)
Freiburg (+120)
Dortmund Over 3 (Even)
Dortmund ML (-120)
Bayern Munich -2.5 (-100)
Leipzig -1 (-130)
Leipzig Over 3 (-125)

Twitter: @canikickitpod
Twitter: @nicodegallo
Twitter: @oh_my_gos

The Return of Football

Or soccer. Either way…

After a long two month break of soccer, the German league returns this weekend with a full slate of 9 matches and we are here to break them down.

In our first podcast this week, the boys catch up to talk about each leagues’ planned return dates, whether or not they’re realistic, any transfer news we’ve missed the last few weeks and more.

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/can-i-kick-it/id1477486316?i=1000474669430

In our second podcast, the Can i Kick It boys preview this weekend’s Bundesliga as best they can in what will likely be one of the most unpredictable weekends in the sport’s history. Nico also gives us his picks.

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/can-i-kick-it/id1477486316#episodeGuid=tag%3Asoundcloud%2C2010%3Atracks%2F821353852

Stay kickin’ it. Peace.

Twitter: @canikickitpod
Twitter: @nicodegallo
Twitter: @oh_my_gos

Champions League Round of 16 Leg 2 Picks (3/11/20) and New Podcast Episode

All-Time Record: 622-552-161 
Last Two Seasons: 359-315-94 (+14.3 units)
This Season: 147-146-46 (-0.3 Units)
UCL Round of 16 (3/10): 1-1 (+1.0 Units)

Solid day yesterday especially with my two units on Leipzig. Valencia got a bit unlucky in their match as they totally exposed themselves on the counter when they needed like four more goals to progress on aggregate and in turn lost the match 4-3.

Jared and I recorded a podcast Tuesday where we react to the growing threat of coronavirus on world football, they recap this past weekend’s Premier League slate, give their picks for who is slated to be relegated with 9 matches left and they go over this week’s Champions League fixtures. Come kick it with us…

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/can-i-kick-it/id1477486316#episodeGuid=tag%3Asoundcloud%2C2010%3Atracks%2F774324514

Alright let’s do this!

UEFA Champions League
Wednesday, March 11th
4:00 pm EST

Borussia Dortmund (2) @ PSG (1) – This match will be played behind closed doors due to coronavirus and that will no doubt affect the way this match is played. Kylian Mbappe will likely be sitting this one out due to flu-like symptoms (don’t worry he tested negative for coronavirus) which will definitely not help PSG’s cause, but this is one of the deeper PSG teams we’ve ever seen and arguably the deepest team in the entire competition. I also think not having fans will put less pressure on PSG as much as it would help motivate them to win, therefore somewhat evening out the vibe. I like PSG to snatch back this tie and at the very least, win this match. Dortmund have had some serious defensive issues this season, especially away from home where they’ve conceded an average of 1.77 goals per match in the league. This match is also a great spot for the over. Second-leg matches historically have been very kind to the over (yet to not cover this season) and seven of PSG’s last nine matches have had at least four goals. I think this one has the potential of a 3-2 PSG win and if they don’t win, it should open the match up to goals since PSG will be chasing and sending men forward (see Valencia/Atalanta). PSG -0.5 (-120) and Over 3.5 Goals (-120).

Atletico Madrid (1) @ Liverpool (0) – This match has a VERY large caviot that could completely decide the outcome of this tie. If Atletico score first, Liverpool would need to score 3 goals in order to advance against an Atletico team who has not conceded three goals in a single match all season long. In fact, Simeone’s men rarely even concede 2 goals in a match as they’ve conceded an average of 0.77 goals per match in La Liga and 0.83 goals per match in the Champions League. This will be a very tough test for a Liverpool team who have seen a dip in form recently. The Reds have lost three of their last five matches with their only wins coming against Premier League relegation candidates at home, failed to keep a clean sheet in all five of those matches and have conceded the first goal in four of those five matches. I expect Atletico to cause so many issues both tactically and in the shithousery department and there’s no way I can fade their +1 line as underdogs here. Atletico Madrid +1 (-120) 2 UNITS.

Stay kickin’ it. Peace.

Twitter: @canikickitpod
Twitter: @nicodegallo

Champions League Round of 16 Leg 2 (3/10/20)

All-Time Record: 621-551-161 
Last Two Seasons: 358-314-94 (+13.3 units)
This Season: 146-145-46 (-1.3 Units)
Matchweek 28 and 29: 7-6 (+1.7 Units)

We will have new podcast up between the two Champions League matchdays as things have been pretty hectic. Some notable news is that Italy and Serie A has cancelled all fixtures for the next month due to the coronavirus. Should be interesting to see how that affects Juventus and Atalanta’s form in the coming weeks if they do advance.

UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, March 10th

4:00 pm EST

Atalanta (4) @ Valencia (1) – This tie is pretty much wrapped up unless Valencia can manage a big shutout win at the Mestalla on Tuesday. That doesn’t mean there isn’t value in this game though. Valencia have always been monsters at home and this year is no different, as they’ve gone undefeated in the league at the Mestalla this season. Atalanta are good but their defensive woes have been evident as they’ve allowed 1.4 goals per match in Serie A, 1.9 per match in the Champions League and 3 per match away from home in the group stage. I’ll gladly take a Valencia line which has a positive price in a situation where teams tend to make the aggregate score closer in their home second leg. Valencia Pickem (+115).

Tottenham (0) @ RB Leipzig (1) – Leipzig bring their one-goal advantage back to Germany hoping to close this out and advance to the quarterfinals. Spurs are coming off one of the worst matches, and more specifically first halves, I’ve seen them play in a long time. That’s now five straight without a loss, three of those being losses. Leipzig didn’t cover themselves in glory in their scoreless draw at Wolfsburg on Saturday but they’re still in solid form, without a loss in six and without a Bundesliga/UCL loss since January 25th. I don’t see a way out for Spurs here and I think Leipzig pile it on and run away with this one. I’m going to double down on them and take them on the -1 spread. RB Leipzig -1 (-115) 2 UNITS.

That’s all for Tuesday’s action! Come back Wednesday morning for a new podcast and set of picks!

Twitter: @canikickitpod
Twitter: @nicodegallo

Matchweek 29 Picks

Quick picks:

Bournemouth @ Liverpool – Under 3.5 Goals (-125)

West Ham @ Arsenal – Arsenal -1 (-110)

Nor which City @ Sheffield United – Sheffield United -1 (+115)

Newcastle @ Southampton – Newcastle +0.5 (+115)

Brighton @ Wolves – Wolves -1 (+105)

Watford @ Crystal Palace – Crystal Palace Pickem (-125)

Tottenham @ Burnley – Burnley Pickem (-110)

Everton @ Chelsea – Over 2.5 Goals (-135)

Manchester City @ Manchester United – Manchester City -1 (+105)

Aston Villa @ Leicester City – Over 3 (-125)

Twitter: @canikickitpod
Twitter: @nicodegallo

Champions League recap and Super Sunday preview Podcast plus Nico’s Gambling Picks

Nico and Jared discuss one of the greatest wins in Man City history, Bayern’s ass-kicking on Chelsea, Lyon’s upset that Jared predicted and if there was a winner from Napoli/Barca. They also preview Super Sunday which includes the Carabao Cup Final, Juve/Inter, Leipzig/Leverkusen and of course El Clasico. Come kick it with us…

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/can-i-kick-it/id1477486316#episodeGuid=tag%3Asoundcloud%2C2010%3Atracks%2F767960170

All-Time Record: 614-545-161 
Last Two Seasons: 351-308-94 (+11.6 units)
This Season: 139-139-46 (-3.0 Units)
PL MW27 and UCL Round of 16: 6-7 (-0.6 Units)

Here are Nico’s picks for the weekend ahead!

Leicester City -0.5 (-130)

Manchester United (+185)

Wolves Pickem (+110)

Leipzig/Leverkusen Over 3.5 Goals (+105)

Inter Milan (+245)

FC Barcelona/Real Madrid Draw (+270)

FC Barcelona/Real Madrid Under 3 Goals (-115)

Twitter: @canikickitpod
Twitter: @nicodegallo
Twitter: @oh_my_gos

New Podcast and Champions League Picks

The boys discuss what was an eventful weekend in the Premier League and around Europe, preview the four Champions League matches, Nico gives his gambling picks and we answered your questions! Come kick it with us…

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/premier-league-recap-and-champions-league-preview/id1477486316?i=1000466625041

I did my Champions League picks on the podcast but here they are listed below!

Bayern Munich -0.5 (-120) 2 UNITS

Napoli/FC Barcelona Under 2.5 Goals (+110)

Juventus -0.5 (-110)

Manchester City Pickem (-125)

Twitter: @canikickitpod
Twitter: @nicodegallo
Twitter: @oh_my_gos

Matchweek 27 Preview and New Podcast Episode

The matchweek after a Champions League/Europa League week is the best feeling in the world. You’ve just watched great soccer for the last three days and now you get more all weekend long. Speaking of the Champions League here were the results from Tuesday and Wednesday’s matches:

Atletico scored early, parked the bus for about 80 minutes and held Liverpool to 0 shots on goal for the first time all season. Going to Anfield will be tough but if they can find a way to sit back and score an away goal then Liverpool would need three to win the tie.

Dortmund and PSG didn’t disappoint, especially in the second half. Haaland scored both goals for Dortmund as his insane run of form continues and 17-year-old American Gio Reyna assisted his second. PSG aren’t out though as their away goal gives them a fighting chance in the second leg.

Atalanta turned heads on Wednesday with 4 goals against a decent Valencia team. Valencia have hope in the second leg with that away goal, but keeping Atalanta’s offense at bay will be a very hard task even at the Mestalla.

My darkhorse pick to make the Final RB Leipzig went to London and beat Spurs on a Werner penalty. The stat sheet seemed even but this match was all about RB Leipzig.

We went into these matches and more in our newest episode of our podcast. Listen, subscribe and rate!!

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/can-i-kick-it/id1477486316#episodeGuid=tag%3Asoundcloud%2C2010%3Atracks%2F764294446

Let’s dive into this weekend’s matches.

All-Time Record: 608-538-161 
Last Two Seasons: 345-301-94 (+12.2 units)
This Season: 133-132-46 (-2.4 Units)
UCL Round of 16 pt. 1: 4-4 (+0.9 Units)

English Premier League
Saturday, February 22nd
7:30 am EST

Tottenham @ Chelsea (TV: NBCSN) – Spurs had a tough showing against Leipzig this week in the Champions League and I feel like that type of performance will repeat itself here and for the next few weeks. They currently don’t have a natural striker right now with Kane and Son out for the rest of the year. I genuinely don’t know where the goals are going to come from. I know Chelsea have been poor this season at home but Spurs have been just as bad if not worse from home. Sell Spurs. Chelsea -0.5 (-135).

10:00 am EST

Bournemouth @ Burnley – I initially liked Bournemouth as underdogs here until I saw what Burnley were going for here. They’re playing really solid footy and have recently beaten Leicester, United and drew Arsenal. They also just went to Southampton and won. I can’t pass up on them at home at (+115) here. Burnley -0.5 (+115).

Newcastle @ Crystal Palace – Palace have now lost three Premier League matches in a row and are one of only two teams in the entire English Football League who have not won a match in 2020 (the other being Brighton). Newcastle didn’t have a good showing against Arsenal last Sunday but overall in 2020 they’ve been pretty dang good. I don’t trust Palace to win outright here so I’ll take the points. Newcastle +0.5 (-120).

Brighton @ Sheffield – The other team who hasn’t won in 2020? Brighton. Sheffield have also re-righted the ship a bit and their form looks to have returned to what we remember it early in the year. Brighton’s away form is also one of the worst in the league. Feels like a bit of a no-brainer here and I don’t want to overthink it. Sheffield United -0.5 (-105).

Aston Villa @ Southampton – Southampton have shown some really bright spots this year but they only have one win in their last six matches in all competitions and showed again on Saturday against Burnley that they’re not a sure thing yet. Villa meanwhile have two wins in their last six and should have probably got points against Spurs last weekend if they didn’t have several key mistakes. I felt that Southampton should be favored but not by an entire goal. That’s way too much for me and I’ll gladly take Villa here as underdogs. Aston Villa +1 (-120).

Manchester City @ Leicester City (TV: NBC) – This match is amazing but too bad it has little to no importance in the standings. In fact, this is the least important match for City over the next week as they have to travel to Madrid in the Champions League on Wednesday. With that being said I don’t know what Pep will do lineup-wise and their minds will surely be focused on Wednesday. City also played a midweek match against West Ham and Leicester are fully rested. I think Leicester’s style fits perfectly against a team like City and I think they’ll make this hard on City in all facets. I’ll gladly take Leicester as a home underdog on positive odds here. Leicester City +0.5 (+115).

Sunday, February 23rd
9:00 am EST

Watford @ Manchester United – I’m actually staying away from this match. The line seems too small but I also don’t trust United to blow a tough team like Watford out. PASS.

Norwich @ Wolves – Wolves haven’t been as good at home this season as you’d expect them to be and Norwich, as bad as they are, haven’t been an easy out. In fact, they’ve only lost by more than one goal once since the November break. I think Wolves should win this but I also think a one-goal spread is too much especially when Wolves had a midweek match in the Europa League. I’ll take the Canaries who are still fighting for their life. Norwich City +1 (-110).

Everton @ Arsenal (TV: NBCSN) – Arsenal are beginning to look really good. In 2020 under Mikel Arteta, they’re undefeated and are coming off of a big 4-0 at home to Newcastle last weekend. Yes, they had some travel to Greece this week but I still trust them here at home against an Everton team who are averaging less than 1 point per match away from home this season. Arsenal -0.5 (+105).

Monday, February 24th
3:00 pm EST

West Ham @ Liverpool (TV: NBCSN) – Liverpool are miles ahead of this West Ham team. I know Henderson will be out but if you saw West Ham’s effort against City this week, you’d realize that they have no chance here against Liverpool. I see this as a push but there is much higher of a chance of them winning by 3 than them winning by only 1 here. I don’t see how you can fade the Reds here. Liverpool -2 (-130).

Stay kickin’ it. Peace.

Twitter: @canikickitpod
Twitter: @nicodegallo

Man City ban reaction, PL recap and UCL preview Podcast, PLUS Champions League Picks

Nico reacts to Man City receiving a 2 year ban from the Champions League and what it means going forward for his club. The boys also recap this past weekend’s Premier League action, what’s wrong with VAR and of course the Alderweireld/Engels show. And FINALLY they get to preview this week’s Champions League round of 16 matches and who they like to gain an advantage going into the second leg. Come kick it with us…

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/can-i-kick-it/id1477486316#episodeGuid=tag%3Asoundcloud%2C2010%3Atracks%2F762674701

All-Time Record: 604-534-161 
Last Two Seasons: 341-297-94 (+11.3 units)
This Season: 129-128-46 (-3.3 Units)
Matchweek 26: 2-5 (-3.8 Units)

Well there it is, the first time in history that my units have been in the negative in the history of the blog. It only took 1,299 picks and to me that’s a big win itself.

Regardless, only the weak stop when the going gets tough and I’m not going anywhere. The Champions League is back and the slate of matches this week can’t be ignored.

UEFA Champions League
Tuesday, February 18th
3:00 pm EST

Liverpool @ Atletico Madrid (TV: TNT) – This couldn’t be more of a contrast in styles. Liverpool with their heavy-metal football would like to go for the throat here in the first leg, but Atletico’s low-scoring, defensive, compact style will look to stifle that. With Atletico’s recent form though I don’t trust them to even score here and I think Liverpool will get an away goal and sit on it. I like Liverpool in a low-scoring affair here. Liverpool -0.5 (+115) and Under 2 Total Goals (+120).

PSG @ Borussia Dortmund – This should be quite the opposite match here. With the over/under sitting at 3.5, expect tons of goals here with two of the most powerful offenses in the world facing off. But what separates these clubs is their respective defenses. PSG has held tight for most of the season (with the exception of Saturday’s 4-4 draw) while Dortmund are letting in goals like they’re betting on the over themselves. PSG also has some of the better depth in this tournament and I feel that they have the better chance to get at least a draw here before taking it back to Paris. PSG Pickem (-130).

Wednesday, February 19th
3:00 pm EST

Valencia @ Atalanta – I love Valencia to be a possible dark horse to make a run in this tournament. They have a phenomenal home-field advantage and have punched above their weight against the heavy-hitters in La Liga this season. Atalanta aren’t an easy out either as they’ve done some things similar in Serie A, but their style of play isn’t conducive to success in the Champions League. They’re prone to shoot-outs in their matches and have conceded an average of 2.6 goals per match this season in Italy and the Champions League. I like Valencia as underdogs as well as the over, which sits lower than that goals against average alone from Atalanta this season. Valencia +0.5 (+110) and Over 2.5 Total Goals (-135). *LATE BET ADDITION AT 11:50 AM EST. VALENCIA +1 (-105).*

RB Leipzig @ Tottenham (TV: TNT) – Another one of my dark horses is Leipzig, but not just to make a run, to possibly reach the Final. They’re great top to bottom, are extremely well-coached and have one of the better goal-scorers in the tournament in Timo Werner. Meanwhile Spurs are seriously hurting, especially up top now that Son broke his arm, and they don’t seem to be playing the type of footy that is sustainable for a two-legged Champions League draw. Mourinho’s patented low-scoring, tight and cagey style hasn’t fully translated to Spurs yet and if they pay the way they did against Villa last weekend here against Leipzig, they won’t make it to the quarterfinals. I’m going to double down on Leipzig here especially since their moneyline and spread both have great prices. RB Leipzig Pickem (+110) and RB Leipzig (+195).

Stay kickin’ it. Peace.

Twitter: @canikickitpod
Twitter: @nicodegallo

Matchweek 26 Preview

The Premier League is caught in a state of flux right now. They’re peppering us with a few matches here and there, allowing for teams to have some sort of a break. Last weekend was a whole lot of nothing and there ended up being only three matches so I stayed away. I’ve also been a bit out of form so I decided to take a bit of a break.

BUT I’M BACK BABY!

Last Two Seasons: 339-292-94 (+15.1 units)
This Season: 127-123-46 (+0.5 Units)
Matchweek 25: 1-7-1 (-6.0 Units)

Yikes. But this is just in time for my 12-matchweek and Champions League knockout comeback. Don’t let the losses beat you up, but instead allow the wins to give you strength.

Oh and listen to the newest episode of our podcast below. I promise it’s the best/worst podcast on the planet.

https://t.co/fakBuAEsG3?amp=1

English Premier League
Friday, February 14th
3:00 pm EST

Leicester City @ Wolves (TV: NBCSN) – This is probably the best match in England this weekend with two teams who years ago weren’t even in the Premier League. Now one is fighting for 2nd place just a few years after miraculously winning the title and the other is looking to get back-to-back European qualification for the first time since the mid 70’s. On the field both teams will likely be missing two key figures, Adama Traore for Wolves and Wilfried Ndidi for Leicester. To me, this Wolves team just got a break from playing the most football of anyone else in Europe’s top leagues and a over the last two months just went through the gauntlet of playing United three times and Liverpool twice. At home they haven’t been what was expected of them so far, sitting in 12th in that specific table, while Leicester sit 4th in the away table. I think Leicester have a lot of upside here with really solid odds on the pickem line (draw earns them a push and a win cashes the bet). I’ll take the Foxes here in what will be a great Midlands Derby. Leicester City Pickem (+105).

Saturday, February 15th
7:30 am EST

Burnley @ Southampton (TV: NBCSN) – After somewhat worrisome starts for both clubs, they’ve now turned things around and sit in the middle of the table. Southampton’s rapid rise since their embarrassing 9-0 loss to Leicester has arguably been the most impressive. But to me, I think this is where they begin to cool down a bit. Before their little break this past week, Burnley had impressive wins against Leicester and United while also drawing Arsenal. Southampton have showed they’ve begun to slip with recent results although those did come against Spurs and Liverpool. I like Burnley as underdogs here to still get points especially as Southampton remain the worst club at home this season with 11 points from 12 matches. Feel the Burn. Burnley +0.5 (+105).

12:30 pm EST

Liverpool @ Norwich City (TV: NBC) – Uh oh. Norwich are in a spot where they are desperate for any points and might need to start chasing 3 instead of 1 in every match they play. They’re gonna be out of luck here as they’ll have to fight for points against the best team on form in the world right now. Liverpool are also returning arguably their best offensive weapon this year in Sadio Mane. Cue the blowout horns. Liverpool -1.5 (-115) and Over 3 total goals (-120).

Sunday, February 16th
9:00 am EST

Tottenham @ Aston Villa (TV: NBCSN) – This feels like a trap game for Spurs. They’ve done well against the big clubs since Mourinho came in but they haven’t had runaway results against some of the lower-table clubs as you’d think (draws recently against Norwich, Watford and Southampton). I also don’t have a ton of faith in Villa getting a win here. But one thing both of these teams have stayed constant in is cashing in on the Under 3 mark. Spurs have only had one of their last 8 league matches go over 3 goals while Villa have only had one of their last 7 league matches go over. I’ll take the under in what could be a low-scoring, scrappy match here. Under 3 total goals (-130).

11:30 am EST

Newcastle @ Arsenal (TV: NBCSN) – This one feels like it could go either way although I do give the edge to Arsenal. They finally got their break under Arteta and that should help them sharpen the axe a bit. Newcastle though have been SNEAKY good in 2020 with only one loss in their eight total matches in the new year. Arsenal are actually a bit better in 2020 as they’ve gone undefeated but only have one league win to show for it, which is still progress from the Emery era. Arsenal have had a tendency to keep things close recently and have actually only won by more than one goal twice this season. With how close Newcastle have been keeping their matches recently and with how little I trust Arsenal to pull away from a stingy team like Newcastle, I expect this one to be close. A spread of 1.5 feels too much for me in the first place and I couldn’t fade Newcastle here. Newcastle United +1.5 (-135).

Monday, February 17th
3:00 pm EST

Manchester United @ Chelsea (TV: NBCSN) – Why the Premier League put this match and the Wolves/Leicester match on Monday and Friday respectively blows my mind. But hey, I won’t complain that we get these matches in what is mostly a dry Premier League Matchweek. This match feels like it could go either way and history shows that neither of these teams have had an edge over the years (since 2010 Manchester United has only one more win with eight draws). Neither of these clubs are good situationally in the table with Chelsea 10th in the home table and United 10th in the away table. Form-wise there isn’t much to separate them and neither team is completely healthy. So what does all of this mean? It means when the draw has +260 odds, you take them. I feel like both of these clubs will take one step forward and one step back here and split the points. DRAW (+260).

Bonus Pick: Lazio (+135) v. Inter Milan

Stay kickin’ it. Peace.

Twitter: @canikickitpod
Twitter: @nicodegallo