Matchweek 37 Preview

Before we get into this weekends preview let’s go over Barcelona v Liverpool in the first leg of their Semifinal.

On paper you’d think Liverpool were able to get a result as they had more of the ball, more shots, and even more passes completed. But the scoreline says a completely different story as Barcelona ended up throttling Liverpool 3-0. They failed to achieve two of my three key points; stopping Messi and keeping a clean sheet/scoring an away goal. They did well to contain Messi for a lot of the match but there were times that the entire Liverpool defense went into panic mode whenever he had space, which allowed the lanes for Suarez and Coutinho to open up. On his first goal he was unmarked in the box and put away one of the easier chances of his career. That’s what happens when you take your eye off of him for 5 seconds in the box.

It also didn’t help that Messi scored one of the greatest free kicks we’ve ever seen. It was so good that the Liverpool players couldn’t even complain and it even made Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp smile on the touchline. 30 yards out, at 61 miles per hour and perfectly in the top corner. I really recommend watching the goal HERE. Liverpool now have a massive mountain to climb especially since they don’t have an away goal in their back pocket.

This Season’s Record: 201-159-46 (+14.9 Units)
Barcelona v. Liverpool: 1-0 (+1.0 Units)

Saturday, May 4th
English Premier League
7:30 am EST

Tottenham @ Bournemouth – This is an interesting one because how Spurs line up will say a lot about their commitment to their top 4 finish and their Champions League Semifinal on Wednesday. Son was rested on Tuesday against Ajax because of his suspension but they’ll be without Vertonghen, Kane and several other rotation players I’m sayursay both because of rest and injuries. They have enough of a cushion in the league where if they drop points, a top four finish is still likely. I think they’ll end up resting a few players because of their upcoming trip to Amsterdam. Their form worries me as they’ve only had one win in their last five matches and away from home they’ve gone 1-8 in their last 9. Bournemouth haven’t been fantastic either but they’re coming off of a 3-3 draw at Southampton where they showed that they can grind out a result especially by scoring goals. This is a great opportunity for Bournemouth to steal some points and I’m going to take them as home underdogs. Bournemouth (+0.5, -110).

10:00 am EST

Fulham @ Wolves – Fulham have been in fantastic form ever since they got relegated, winning three straight. But those matches weren’t far-fetched wins for the club and they’ll now have to face their first real test in Wolves. They’ve gone 0-4 in their last four matches against top-8 opponents with a -9 goal differential which makes for an average loss margin of 2.25. Wolves meanwhile have gone their last three matches unbeaten, with a win away at Watford and a win at home to Arsenal. They’re playing well enough to halt Fulham’s form in it’s tracks and they’re still fighting for that 7th place spot. A win here and a Leicester loss at City could guarantee that spot. I’ll take them on the spread at home. Wolves (-1. -110).

German Bundesliga
9:30 am EST

Nurnberg @ Wolfsburg – Nurnberg’s draw against Bayern last weekend was nothing short of spectacular, but it’s a one-off performance In my opinion. Adding to that, Schalke’s win at Dortmund puts Nurnberg’s hopes of survival at almost 0 as they now have an 11 point gap with 5 matches left. They’ll face a Wolfsburg team who have performed up to their standard over the last few matches, covering or pushing in most of them. They’re also still within an earshot of qualifying for European competition next season as they sit only 2 points behind the last Europa League spot and 4 points behind the last Champions League spot. Three points would be crucial in maintaining that quest for Europe and I trust them to get those points at home here. Wolfsburg (-1, -105).

Sunday, May 5th
English Premier League
9:00 am EST

Watford @ Chelsea – Chelsea will be coming off of their 1-1 draw at Frankfurt in the Europa League Semifinals while Watford will have a full week’s rest. I always like fading teams late in the season when they’re coming off of major travel, especially against clubs with a full week’s rest. Also, Chelsea’s recent results have been somewhat uninspiring as their only win in their last five matches was at home to Slavia Prague in the Quarterfinals of the Europa League. Yes Watford are coming off of a home loss last weekend, but they’ve been pretty good against top-6 clubs away from home this season. They’ve only failed to cover once against those teams in their last four tries and rank 8th in the league in away goal differential. I think they can cause Chelsea some serious trouble, especially if Sarri decides to rest some starters before the second leg against Frankfurt. I’ll take them on a spread that I think is 0.5 points too many. Watford (+1.5, -125).

Spanish La Liga
6:00 am EST

Girona @ Getafe – This is one of the more intriguing matches of the weekend as Getafe are still clinging on the the last Champions League spot and Girona are still at risk of relegation. Due to those factors, Getafe only sit as -0.5 favorites, but I think Vegas is severely underestimating how good this squad is. In their last few matches, Getafe have drawn Real Madrid, beaten Sevilla handily and had a home win against Bilbao. That’s three major results against three top-7 clubs while Girona are 1-6 in their last 7 matches. Yes, Girona’s sole win came against Sevilla last weekend (which ironically helped Getafe tremendously in the race for 4th), but overall Girona aren’t a team that Getafe should be too scared of. I love Getafe at home here to continue their quest for their first Champions League birth in 8 years and only their second ever. Getafe (-0.5, -125).

German Bundesliga
7:30 am EST

Augsburg @ Schalke – Schalke are coming off of their biggest win of the season as they dismantled rivals Dortmund and possibly ruined their chances at a Bundesliga title. Shockingly though, they still sit in the last safe spot in the league, but with a six point cushion. Meanwhile Augsburg sit only one point above them. If either of these teams can get three points, it’ll likely guarantee survival for that club. Although Augsburg have had a few good results as of late, they haven’t won in any of their last ten away matches, with their last win coming back in October. I trust Schalke, who are surely buzzing after their win last weekend, to take care of business at home and guarantee survival. Schalke (-0.5, -125).

Italian Serie A
9:00 am EST

Atalanta @ Lazio – This is probably the best match in Italy this weekend, outside of maybe the Turin derby between Torino and Juve. Atalanta come into this match in great form as they have won three straight matches and have gone unbeaten in their last eleven matches. Lazio meanwhile have had a few good wins including against Milan an Inter, but they’ve also dropped points to Chievo Verona, Sassuolo and SPAL. They’re also 2-3-1 in their last six and sit four points behind the final Champions League spot held by Atalanta. Atalanta will also have to play Juve in a few weeks and would feel much more comfortable going into that match with a three point cushion in their 4th place spot. I feel much more comfortable picking an Atalanta team who have had steady and consistent results against a Lazio team who are somewhat out of sorts right now. I’m even going to go as far as taking their moneyline at 2/1. Atalanta (+200).

Stay Kickin’ It. Peace.

Twitter: @nicodegallo

Bayern v. Dortmund; A Der Klassiker for a Title?

Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund are set to play their 120th matchup on Saturday with the Bundesliga title on the line. But it’s more than just that. These two clubs have dominated Germany for the last decade and have even met in a Champions League final in 2013. They’ve shared 21 of the last 24 Bundesliga titles and although there it’s not a derby based on location, it’s instead one based on a power struggle between the two teams over the last few decades. Players have gone from Dortmund to Bayern seeking the bigger club’s lifestyle and titles, while others have stayed true to the yellow and black for their whole careers. They’re utterly different in nature as Bayern’s fans have a sense of ‘Hollywood’ while Dortmund’s fans come from a working class mining town. It’s Bavaria v. North Rhine, blue collar v. white collar, champions v. runners-up… you get the point.

Now they will add add a new chapter as Bayern look to climb back to the top of the table and Dortmund look to cement their first title in seven years, breaking Bayern’s run of seven straight titles.

Der Klassiker, 12:30 pm EST

Borussia Dortmund @ Bayern Munich (TV: FOX) – The last time these two met, Dortmund came back from being down a goal twice to win 3-2 at home. Going into this past weekend, Bayern got up to -350 (350 to win 100) to win the Bundesliga until they shockingly drew to Freiburg 1-1 and Dortmund scored two stoppage time goals to beat Wolfsburg. Dortmund quickly went from being tied on points to having a two point lead. Bayern still remain favorites at -175 as Vegas expects them to win here while Dortmund sit at +140. Things then went from bad to worse for Bayern as they barely squeaked past Heidenheim of the 2nd division in the domestic cup quarterfinals on Wednesday. They started mostly their full squad and will likely be tired after having to fight for a win, while Dortmund will be rested and in good form. If you told me we’d be where we are a week ago, there’s no way I’d believe you.

Both teams have several crucial players who have missed some time recently, but Bayern look set to return star goalie Manuel Neuer and outside back/all-purpose David Alaba. I expect them both to provide an immediate boost to a poor run of form. Dortmund will be missing outside back Hakimi and winger Pulisic due to more serious injuries that they suffered recently, limiting their depthf or this match and the rest of their run for the title.

I think the most crucial thing for this match is whether or not Dortmund will play too timid, or if they can balance a sense of carefulness with a calculated attack whether that be on the counter or not. If Dortmund allow Bayern too much space and time to push forward it could be trouble, but if Bayern let Dortmund counter (what they do best) then they could be at risk of completely bottling the league. I think Dortmund will try to make it a game immediately, not allowing Bayern to set that tempo early. If they can do that for the first 15-20 minutes and then try to hit Bayern on the counter, it will disrupt any sort of flow Bayern will have. It will be a chess match and I think if anyone gets an early goal, it will flip the entire game on it’s head.

Since Dortmund only need a point, are in better form and will have the fresher legs, I love them as underdogs on a one-goal spread. Basically I’m betting against Bayern running away with the match. I also like the one-goal spread because Dortmund know they will be fine with a draw, allowing them to not overextend themselves if instead they needed to win. It should be an absolute cracker of a match on bigtime FOX and I recommend everyone try to watch at least a portion of what will feel like a Final. Borussia Dortmund (+1, +105).

Matchweek 32 Preview

The international break FINALLY ends as we return to club footy for the final stretch of the season. The two title races are heating up as the Premier League will come down to City and Liverpool (Liverpool with a 2 point advantage but City has a game in hand) and in the Bundesliga between Dortmund and Bayern who are tied on points. It’s been a while so let’s see where I stand and how I did the last time out.

This Season’s Record: 168-144-39 (+2.9 Units)
Matchweek 31/FA Cup: 5-2-1 (+2.9 Units)

Due to the fact that we’ll be coming off of an international break and there may be some players resting, some injuries, rust from two weeks off and more, I’m only going to find a few lines across Europe that I like/pop out to me. Let’s see if we can find some value.

Saturday, March 30th
German Bundesliga
10:30 am EST

Wolfsburg @ Borussia Dortmund – Earlier this week I wrote a piece on Dortmund’s chances of the Bundesliga title (LINK HERE) and mentioned how this match could be a trap game for them. Historically at home they have beaten Wolfsburg but not by comfortable margins. They’re also not the only ones fighting for something in this match as Wolfsburg have their sights on their first European birth since ’15-16. Adding to that, Wolfsburg have been more than comfortable away from home, going 7-2-4 and ranking 4th in away points this season. I think that a goal is too big of a spread for this match and I can’t resist taking the underdog. Wolfsburg (+1, +105).

Borussia Mochengaldbach @ Fortuna Dusseldorf – Two egregiously long-named clubs will face off on Saturday morning with a pickem as the spread. Although it’s heavily juiced towards ‘Gladbach, I can’t fade them since their only chance of losing the bet is if they lose outright to a 12th place Dusseldorf team who has been way too inconsistent at home. This Dusseldorf team has had two home wins in this calendar year, both against relegation squads, and they’re coming off of two bad losses before the international break. I don’t see them beating a ‘Gladbach team who hasn’t lost an away match since Dortmund in December. In fact, ‘Gladbach haven’t lost away from home to a team outside of the top four since October. ‘Gladbach (Pick, -130).

English Premier League
11:00 am EST

Bournemouth @ Leicester City – Leicester are starting to play some really good ball right now under new manager Brendan Rodgers. Yes their last two wins came against Fulham and Burnley, but prior to his arrival they went winless in seven with six of those being losses. Also, their win against Burnley came from being a man down for 86 minutes and away from home, showing that they can get it done facing adversity. They’re getting more and more productivity going forward from Vardy, Tielemans and Maddison which is exactly what this team needs if they want to succeed. They’ll face a Bournemouth team who has one win in their last seven (against Huddersfield) and one win away from home in their last nine away league matches (against Huddersfield). I like Leicester at home where they have thrived under Rodgers so far in his tenure. Leicester City (-0.5, -115).

Wolves @ Burnley – I’m shocked they have this one as a pickem considering how Wolves were playing prior to the international break with a draw at Chelsea in the league and a win against United in the FA Cup. Outside of their shocking loss at Huddersfield and their expected loss at City, they’ve been brilliant since the turn of the new year. Burnley meanwhile have lost their last four matches before the break (A. Newcastle, H. Crystal Palace, A. Liverpool, H. Leicester) and have the 17th best home record this season. They even lost to Leicester last matchweek with an extra man for 86 minutes. Wolves are far and away the better team and I’ll never shy away from them on a pickem line especially against a team like Burnley who will have serious trouble against this Wolves team especially in the midfield. Wolves (Pick, -135).

Sunday, March 31st
Spanish La Liga
8:00 am EST

Real Betis @ Rayo Vallecano (beIN Sports) – Rayo Vallecano are in big big trouble as they sit six points below the relegation zone and have lost their last seven matches. They’ll face a Betis team who are not only better than them quality-wise but they’re also coming off of two away wins before the international break. Although they did lose the match before the break to Barcelona, they haven’t lost back-to-back La Liga matches since October and it’s another match where I can’t fade the better team on the pickem line. Real Betis (Pick, -120).

Italian Serie A
9:00 am EST

Napoli @ Roma (ESPNEWS) – The second best match of the weekend brings us to Rome where the city’s namesakes will be taking on second-place Napoli. Roma have had an up and down season and recently have been poor against good opposition. In their last eleven matches against similar-quality opposition (similar on points in the league or Champions League matches), they’ve gone 0-5-6. They’ll be facing a Napoli team who sit in second in Serie A and have been great away from home, going undefeated in their last four in the league away from the Estadio San Paolo. Napoli have also won their last two matches at Roma and I love the value on their Moneyline and pickem here to do it a third time in a row. Napoli (+135), Pick (-130).

English Premier League
11:30 am EST

Tottenham @ Liverpool (NBCSN) – The second best match of the weekend leads us into the best match of the weekend as Spurs travel north to face league leaders Liverpool. This match can really set the tempo for Liverpool’s title chase as this is one of their two matches against top six sides that they will likely need to win if they want to raise their first Premier League trophy in almost three decades. Spurs came into the international break in bad shape with only one win from their last five matches while Liverpool have gone 4-1-0 in that same span. But Liverpool haven’t covered in their last three Premier League matches, showing that their last few wins have come in a tighter margin than expected. With the spread being a goal and since I can’t get a great read on this one due to Liverpool’s recent non-convincing wins and Spurs’ bad form/inconsistency, I’ve decided to make a play on the total. Liverpool’s last three league home matches have averaged 4.6 total goals while Spurs’ last three away matches have averaged 2.7 (a combined average of 3.65). Another reason why I like the over is that often after international breaks, top six clubs who have a lot of players on international duty need some time to get their chemistry back especially in a match that occurs so quickly after they get back to camp. I think this will be a high-scoring match and I’ll take the over at 3 goals even with the likelihood of a push. Over 3 goals (+110).

That’s all for this weekend’s preview! I hope you can get back in the swing of things with club soccer returning and maybe throw some coin on some matches before the Elite Eight starts on Saturday and Sunday.

Don’t forget to SUBSCRIBE at the bottom of the page and follow on Twitter!

Stay Kickin’ It. Peace.

Twitter: @nicodegallo

Who Will Win the Bundesliga? The Case for Borussia Dortmund

The last time a team won the Bundesliga that wasn’t named Bayern Munich or Borussia Dortmund was in 2008-2009 when Wolfsburg triumphed atop the German table. This year will be no different as the two clubs are tied atop the Bundesliga table, eleven points ahead of third place Leipzig. Luckily for Bayern they have a seven point lead on the goal differential tally, the tie-breaker if both clubs are tied on points, but a lot can change over the next two months especially when these two clubs face each other on April 6th.

I’m going to go into who has the better shot at winning the league title with their respective paths to the finish. In this piece I will go over Dortmund, following with a piece for Bayern’s chances.

The Case for Borussia Dortmund

Dortmund were on top of the table for most of the season until their bad run of form in February and early March, where they went five matches with only one win in the league and eight matches with one win in all competitions. They crashed out of the Champions League, DFB Pokal and lost their grip atop the Bundesliga table, allowing Bayern to take the top spot. Bayern’s outstanding form has also attributed to this as they have had only one league loss since away at Dortmund back in November. But Dortmund began to turn things around a bit with back to back wins before the international break and should come out of the break feeling good. Another thing that will help their title chase is that they will be playing less matches than their rivals Bayern, as the Bavarians will be playing in the DFB Pokal, the German domestic cup. They are expected to go far in the league cup, possibly chopping up their focus on the Bundesliga title.

Let’s see what Dortmund’s road ahead looks like and if they can gain enough points to top Bayern.

HOME v. Wolfsburg – Dortmund haven’t lost to Wolfsburg at home in the league since 2012 but they haven’t been beating them comfortably recently either. Their last two matches were 0-0 at home last January and a 1-0 win for Dortmund at Wolfsburg this past November. Wolfsburg are also on the cusp of a Europa League spot as they sit four points off of a guaranteed place in European competition and are tied with Leverkusen for the Europa League playoff spot. This has the makings of a trap game for Dortmund, and could well be a draw. But for the sake of this hypothetical let’s say they take the three points at home where they have yet to lose this season.(3 pts).

AWAY v. Bayern Munich – Ahhh the big one. If someone can grab the three points here they will surely be the favorites to win the league. The bad news for Dortmund is that they haven’t taken points away at Bayern in the league in five years and Bayern have won seven straight home games this year scoring 24 goals and conceding only 2. It will be a very tough task for Dortmund to come in and they may even try to settle for the draw. I think that will doom them and I expect Bayern to take this one. (0 pts).

HOME v. Mainz – They shouldn’t have trouble with a Mainz side who have been poor this season especially away from home where they have collected only 11 points from 13 matches. (3 pts).

AWAY v. Freiburg – Freiburg haven’t been bad at home this season, ranking mid-table in that juncture but they just aren’t strong enough to beat this Dortmund team. They haven’t beaten Dortmund since May of 2010 and I see that trend continuing. (3 pts).

HOME v. Schalke – What’s really tricky about this match for Dortmund is that Schalke could be facing a relegation battle at this stage in the season and are historically always up for this derby. They’ve split the last two and the previous four encounters resulted in draws. If Schalke are fighting for their lives I think another draw is likely here in what is always a very tightly contested match. (1 pt).

AWAY v. Werder Bremen – Another trap game here for Dortmund as they face a Werder team who has troubled them not only in this season but in recent years as well. Their DFB Pokal match earlier in the year went to penalties with Werder prevailing, their league match in December was very tight going 2-1 to Dortmund and the last time these two met at Werder they drew 1-1. I think Dortmund slip up again here and drop points in a very tough away match. (1 pt).

HOME v. Fortuna Dusseldorf – As of 3/25 Dusseldorf sit in 12th place and although they’ve been good against top opposition this year, I don’t see them waltzing into Signal Iduna Park in May and getting points. This will be Dortmund’s easiest chance at three points and I expect them to take full advantage.. (3 pts).

AWAY v. Mochengladbach – If the league is still up for grabs on the last day of the season here, expect an all-timer between these two clubs. Gladbach have been brilliant this season sitting in 4th place and have been more than capable at home. They could be likely fighting for a Champions League spot and I have a hard time envisioning Dortmund coming out of this one with all three points. If both teams are fighting for something, I see this one being a draw. (1 pt).

With that point tally Dortmund would finish with 75 points, which would very rarely win you the Bundesliga. But with this seasons lower-than-normal point total you never know and if they can pick up form during this stretch then anything can happen. Their odds to win the Bundesliga currently sit at (+225) which has value, but their path does looks grim as they’d need to win two derbies and a tough match on the last day of the year to win the league. They’d also likely have to finish above Bayern instead of tying them as they are behind on goal differential, another obstacle for the yellow and black.

As I said before, their price to win the league does have value based on the positive odds, but the reality of their race to the top is that they’d likely need a miracle run to win it. I wouldn’t buy into Dortmund right now but I also wouldn’t completely rule out their chances to make things interesting, especially if they can grab points against Bayern. But with that being unlikely and due to them being behind on goal differential, I don’t see Dortmund coming out of this season crowned champions.

Keep an eye out for Bayern Munich’s case for the Bundesliga coming soon.

Stay Kickin’ It. Peace.

Twitter: @nicodegallo
Facebook: Can I Kick It

Matchweek 31, FA Cup Quarterfinal and Milan Derby

A bit of an odd weekend here as we only have five Premier League matches but it does redeem itself with the FA Cup Quarterfinals and a special Milan Derby. I’m going to mix it up here and pick matches that I like across Europe instead of sticking to England so let’s see how it goes…

This Season’s Record: 163-142-38 (+0.0 Units)
UCL Round of 16 3/12-3/13: 2-2 (-0.2 Units)

All those picks and I sit at even on units. Ohhh the irony!

Saturday, March 16th
English Premier League
11:00 am EST

Leicester City @ Burnley (NBCSN) – Burnley come into this match after losing three straight in the league while Leicester seem to be somewhat rejuvenated under new manager Brendan Rodgers after they got their first win last weekend. But it’s their recent home form compared to Leicester’s away form that has me liking Burnley. Leicester haven’t won a league match in their last four tries while Burnley have only lost once in their last six home matches. They’re also in a relegation fight right now and are playing for points not necessarily outright wins just yet, giving them value on the pickem line especially with positive odds. I’ll take the stingy Burnley boys. Burnley (Pick, +115).

Huddersfield @ West Ham United – Vegas is putting a one-goal spread in this match and rightly so as Huddersfield are basically already relegated and West Ham have been brilliant at home this season, especially recently. Huddersfield have gotten points four times this season in their fourteen away matches, giving me zero appeal to them as underdogs here. It could likely push but I think West Ham at home against a finished Huddersfield side is easy money at home. West Ham (-1, +105).

English FA Cup Quarterfinals
8:15 am EST

Crystal Palace @ Watford (ESPN+)In my opinion this could be the best match to watch in England this week. These two clubs play a physical and grinding style of football and it couldn’t be a better matchup in an FA Cup Quarterfinal. I was expecting this to be a pickem but once I saw that Watford were being offered at (+125) I couldn’t pass them up. Watford have have had five losses in their last nineteen matches and they came against City twice, Liverpool, Spurs and Chelsea. I love them on those odds at home here in what should be a brilliant match. Watford (-0.5, +125).

Manchester United @ Wolves (ESPN+) – This, in terms of actual quality, is the best draw in the FA Cup this weekend. We know how good Wolves can be against top six sides especially after drawing at Chelsea over the weekend and Manchester United are looking to bounce back after their first loss in the Solskjaer era. Wolves just give me more confidence in this match especially as underdogs at home where they haven’t lost in over two months. Wolves (+0.5, -140).

German Bundesliga
1:30 pm EST

Borussia Dortmund @ Hertha Berlin (FS2) – Borussia Dortmund will now only be playing for one title this season, the Bundesliga, where they sit behind Bayern only due to a lesser goal differential of two goals. They know that since they will be playing in two less competitions than Bayern that every point matters in the Bundesliga week in and week out. I think they bounce back here from their recent poor form (two wins in last nine matches) and when they win there tends to be goals. The Bundesliga is the highest scoring league in Europe’s top five with Dortmund’s matches averaging 3.6 goals per game and Hertha’s matches averaging 3.0 goals per game. I’ll take Dortmund and the over here in what will likely be a very fun match to watch. Borussia Dortmund (-0.5, -105) and Over 2.5 goals (-115).

Sunday, March 17th
German Bundesliga
8:30 am EST

Werder Bremen @ Bayer Leverkusen (FS1) – I saw this line and immediately became puzzled as to why Werder would be one-goal underdogs. Their last loss came in late December, they haven’t lost by more than one goal since November and they have been far above average away from home recently. Yes Leverkusen are the better side but I think this is an odd overcompensation from Vegas here and I love Werder here. Werder Bremen (+1, -110).

English Premier League
10:15 am EST

Liverpool @ Fulham (NBCSN) – Liverpool will look to take advantage of City not playing in the league this weekend at Fulham on Sunday. The spread is too big so I didn’t want to bite but I did notice that the over/under sat at 3. It doesn’t seem to pop out too much but Liverpool’s matches in the league have averaged 3.8 goals per game while Fulham’s matches have averaged 3.2. Even if this likely pushes, I’ll lean on the side of the over hitting with one of the league’s second best offense facing off against the league’s worst defense. Over 3 goals (-120).

Italian Serie A
3:30 pm EST

Inter Milan @ AC Milan (ESPN+) – Ahhh not much better than a Milan Derby at the San Siro. It’s a match that has been played 293 times over the last 110 years and it completely dominates Italian football when it graces the calendar. This one is extra special though as AC Milan have the chance to move four points above their rivals and increase their chances at playing in the Champions League next season for the first time in six years. What better time to do it than against Inter towards the end of the season? They’ve been in flying form as they’ve been undefeated in the league since December and are 9-4-1 in their last fourteen matches in all competitions. They also lost the last Milan Derby and have not lost back to back Derbies since 2012 (seventeen matches). Adding to that, Milan have had loads of rest over the last few weeks compared to Inter who have played three more matches since the start of February. I love AC Milan on the pickem line here even with the juice. AC Milan (Pick, -135).

That’s all for the preview for this weekend!

Stay Kickin’ It. Peace.

Twitter: @nicodegallo
Facebook: Can I Kick It

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